kneehighs

On 10/23/2022 at 4:00 PM, kneehighs said:

Now local FED officials are talking about "stepping down".  The $DXY (US Dollar Index) is dropping off a cliff, indicating market is rotating out of safety into riskier assets.  At least for mid term elections.  

 

After nominal losses in global wealth now exceed 2008 Housing Crisis drawdowns, I think we're close to a stock market bottom

Base case for crypto?  If no new leg down by Q1 '23 (post midterm elections), 18-20K was bottom for Bitcoin.  If new leg down Q4 '21, then confirms that is bottom.  Regardless, we are in final innings of bear market.

Risk assets tend to follow Last In, First Out (LIFO).  In an uptrend, the higher the risk the asset is, the later in the cycle bulls/algorithms rotate money to it.  In a downtrend, the higher the risk the assets is, the faster in the cycle algorithms rotate money out of it.  

 

As always, the average retail speculator now assumes stocks are going to zero.  Typical herd thinking with no financial edge.

FED will probably normalize new higher rates from 3-4%, instigating the next bull run. Most people won't see this coming because they are too wrapped up in assuming the news cycle accurately reflects asset price cycles.  

News flash: if you're making financial decisions based on news cycles you have no edge on the market and are already behind.

On 10/19/2022 at 4:34 PM, CAT said:

Figured I should get in on the topic.

I finally did it!!!!  I wore something other then a skirt!!!!!!!!!!!

It was ok but just like the skirt choice better, maybe because it gets the looks and the conversations, sadly none on this flight.   Guess I like the attention!!!

Great pair of masculine looking heels.  Thick heel, laces like a man's oxford shoe, thick sole.  I imagine those didn't get too much attention.

Adapt or suffer. 

7 hours ago, Shyheels said:

I didn’t suggest actual extinction for FB or IG (my passenger pigeon reference was merely to show how fast something seemingly permanent can vanish)  but they are fading fast - share prices plummeting and their favourite demographic walking away in droves. The New York Times has a piece on this very thing today. I’d post a link but the NYT has a firewall - you have to subscribe to read. 

Is this the article? https://archive.ph/6ON3F.  Just type paywall URL's into this site: https://archive.ph/ and it will bypass the firewall

Regarding Meta Stock Price dipping, not worried. ALL stock prices have dipped since the US FED announced Quantitive Tightening back in November 2021.  A new bull cycle will come and that will change. META did mess up by repurchasing $42BN of stock in the past 12 months at an average price of $300. It is now trading at $112, lol.

Article makes same point as me. META has money and Rival TikTok at big risk of regulatory extinction in the The West.

IMHO, people will adapt until a Web 3 solution comes along. I'd bet until end of 2020's decade Insta remains the dominant social media channel--even with disgruntled users. The fall, if it happens, won't be overnight. 

On 10/23/2022 at 1:47 PM, Jkrenzer said:

Ah but there is. Crazy people are getting lengthening surgery. Me, just wear high heels.

All kidding aside, I'm pretty sure kidding kneehighs was complimenting your proportions. Those heels look like they should be be there.

Pretty sure @mlroseplant didn’t take my comment personally. Making shoes the same color as the pants is a stylists way of visually making the legs appear longer for anyone.

This outfit is great. Another option is a white button down. It would create a classic monochromatic effect. Which would elongate and slim the whole body—for anyone.

On 4/18/2020 at 9:45 AM, kneehighs said:

Brexit

Trump nationalism

Japan funds 2B for companies to move supply chain out of China

We live in an era of DeGlobalization

People can't pay their rent

Landlords can't pay their mortgages

Retail Banks will get bailed out before the people???  After 2008???  And trillions being printed to cover COVID/quarantine demand shocks? 

Enter, global financial reset.  

Retail Banks go bust.

Central Banks replace them.  If consumers had 1K in retail banks, Central Bank gives consumer a new wallet (bet smart phone is required) with 1K of fresh "Fed Coins" in it.  So consumer loses no money.

It will be Digitally based since paper money can pass COVID or other mutations of viruses.  

Imagine the surveillance that could come with the new Fed Coin?  No vaccine?  No coins.  Coins could be issued with expiration dates programmed to be spent in segments of economy that are suffering.  

Imagine ZOOM calls with billion dollar deals done across 5 countries.  Which government collects taxes and in which government denominated Fed Coin will transactions be settled in?   It'll need to be figured out to keep commerce flowing. 

You better believe in an deglobalized environment, countries will fight.  Probably why China already released their own digital wallets tested in 4 cities.  Infrastructure first mover advantage.

Yet, one a-political money could offer a solution across international borders.  A neutral solution.

Just my 2 sats.

(just my thoughts on the situation.  Not financial advice etc).

 

 

 

🤣 NAILED IT.  Years ago.  RISHI SUNAK barely in office for 24 hours and already explicitly calling for Central Bank Digital Currency adoption.  People here afraid to adapt.  Opt out if you have the skills/means to live agrarian and independent lifestyle.

Or survive by learning to use self custody crypto wallets. They improve pseudo anonymity, improve privacy, don't require government surveillance to move money, and increase difficulty for governments to tell you how to use your money.  They're not fail proof, but they certainly are an improvement over the government data harvesting your every transaction.

On 10/24/2022 at 5:11 PM, pebblesf said:

Well, you are young, so just enjoy yourself.  Going out on a date with someone does not mean they have to be considered long term relationship material.  Just enjoy each other for the moment I guess.  Needless to say, you have to be honest if you sense she is looking for something more.  Sooner or later, your quest will pay off.  I would agree though, #3 seems like the best prospect.  

Definitely agree. But IMHO, the quicker I can disqualify these girls from my life, the better. Time is scarce. Women are abundant.  I don't want to waste time/money. 

I should know about #3 within a couple of weeks. 

On 10/23/2022 at 3:46 PM, kneehighs said:

Dating update: quick overview of development over last week.

Second girl: Native Slovenian. 5'5". Fashion industry background. She's seen new photos of me in heels. Response was just "nice photo" as opposed to "great, love your style".  We meet in a week for drinks and dinner. Likely I'll wear a Zara Pant Suit with pumps.  Won't know if she's long term relationship material yet until we meet in IRL.  

 

Girl 2 also cool with me wearing heels. I'm at a stage now where I say to myself "what have i got to lose? NOTHING". If she would've said it was a problem, I would've politely parted ways.  I forgot to add to the list of girls predisposed to approve of men in heels  "works in a creative industry job (music, art, fashion)"

3 hours ago, mlroseplant said:

Yeah, I think I've just worn her down over the years. She doesn't even bother to say anything anymore. However, the negative feelings are still there. Nowadays, this is usually expressed by her complimenting my shoes that aren't heels, on the rare occasion when that happens.

Appreciate your openness @mlroseplant.  Thanks for sharing. 

The US FED popped the 2000 dot com bubble, popped the 2007/8 housing bubble, popped the 2021 everything bubble.  Don't fight the FED.

Now local FED officials are talking about "stepping down".  The $DXY (US Dollar Index) is dropping off a cliff, indicating market is rotating out of safety into riskier assets.  At least for mid term elections.  

And local FED officials are also talking about not "overtightening"

After nominal losses in global wealth now exceed 2008 Housing Crisis drawdowns, I think we're close to a stock market bottom

Base case for crypto?  If no new leg down by Q1 '23 (post midterm elections), 18-20K was bottom for Bitcoin.  If new leg down Q4 '21, then confirms that is bottom.  Regardless, we are in final innings of bear market.

Risk assets tend to follow Last In, First Out (LIFO).  In an uptrend, the higher the risk the asset is, the later in the cycle bulls/algorithms rotate money to it.  In a downtrend, the higher the risk the assets is, the faster in the cycle algorithms rotate money out of it.  

15 hours ago, Cali said:

BTW. You are in a better place. I'm at least 30 years older than you. Women my age are not as accepting.  I get more the "it's fine, but my man" vibe. For me, I feel like finding an accepting woman is just slightly easier than having a successful unicorn hunt.

That must feel disappointing or disheartening. There's someone out there for everyone though.  Sounds cliche, but I firmly believe this.  

7 hours ago, mlroseplant said:

Speaking of unicorn hunting, I am trying to think, out of all the women I know, who could achieve all of the items on this list. I can think of only one, and this particular woman would not meet your unwritten criteria in three different ways.

Ahh, I didn't mean to imply they meet all the items on the list.  Just one or two is probably sufficient.  By the way, you're married.  Please correct me if I'm wrong, but I gather your heel wearing is "tolerated" by your wife as opposed to actionably "supported".    Is your heel wearing just one of those conflicts in relationship that is never resolved, but tolerated?  

Dating update: quick overview of development over last week.

First girl: Native Hungarian. 5'10"  Already spent the night. Brother is gay. She is totally open to LGBTQ and encouraged all aspects of my fashion freestyling. Unfortunately, she is not long term relationship material.  20's wild child stage. Was absolutely mind blowing short term over night fun though.  And yes, I wore my heels on our first and only date.

Second girl: Native Slovenian. 5'5". Fashion industry background. She's seen new photos of me in heels. Response was just "nice photo" as opposed to "great, love your style".  We meet in a week for drinks and dinner. Likely I'll wear a Zara Pant Suit with pumps.  Won't know if she's long term relationship material yet until we meet in IRL.  

Third girl: Native Russian, but lived in Germany all her life.  5'9".  Thinks men in heels look great. Her roommate wears heels and make up. She told me she tells him, "I'll leave the make up and heels for you". Introverted, Feeler, no social media, prefers to study Ancient Greek Philosophy,  ready for a serious relationship.

My bet is the third girl is the best long term mate. Only time will tell though. 

4 hours ago, Cali said:

There are three words that might trigger a review.  But this software is better than the software that other sites use to sanitize their sites.

Some software removes the sequence a$$ from words like pass, glass, passionate, assistant, passport to obtain the "words" p, gl, ionate, istant, pport 

Thanks, I was unaware it compares well relative to other sites.

Definitely my favorite shoes I've seen you wear so far. Their color blends well with your pants too. This can help elongate your legs. 

For single heterosexual men looking to find a significant other supportive of heels. 

I've been searching for that Holy Grail of personality indicators that would increase my efficiency to find a compatible long term partner.

Ideally, find that Holy Grail trait.  Line up all the girls that have that trait in assembly line. Speed date each one to find Mrs. Kneehighs 🤣

That's not reality.  So at least you can qualify girls based on the below traits. If .

These are the traits. I'm sure other guys here that are married can add value to this. Maybe even worthy of a separate thread later.

• A girl with a high priority for experiencing novelty and something different 
• A girl with a history of Crossdresser/Transgender friends
• A girl with a good relationship with her dad
• A girl who is Bisexual
• A girl with a secure attachment style

4 hours ago, Shyheels said:

I disagree. Both Facebook and IG are increasingly seen as passé by the younger demographic who are always looking for the next big /new thing. This is why the people running them are trying to reinvent the platforms mid-stream. I think also there is going to be increasing amounts of governmental pushback and regulatory oversight and forced break-ups of these social conglomerates 

Very low probability Instagram goes extinct. Millennials and Gen Z will keep using it for curated and edited video content, unlike TikTok which is more raw.  With EuraAsia versus West tension increasing, higher probability TikTok gets regulated out in Western countries. Marco Rubio talking about it actively in US.

2 hours ago, SF said:

I got off of Facebook (and most other social media in January 2020). I cherish free speech. It’s a personal choice. Smile.   sf

When I moved to Kyiv, I started to use FB again, because the online communities helped me make friends. Ugh.

13 hours ago, Shyheels said:

It’s not a small failure. Even their very largest accounts are complaining about it. Passenger pigeons were once one of the worlds most populous birds. The udea they could become extinct seemed ludicrous. Find one today.

It's a small failure b/c Facebook has enough money and user base size to recover. Or public will adapt. 

Rumors TikTok is a tool of Communist China to harvest data nonconsensually. TikTok is at higher regulatory risk of extinction in the West than Insta. 

7 hours ago, CAT said:

TicTok is the ONLY social media I have ever had

Interesting. I have Twitter and Instagram, but no TikTok.

7 hours ago, Shyheels said:

Instagram is on a fast road to nowhere at the moment in its clumsy and futile effort to try to reinvent itself as another Tik-Tok. 

Instagram is so ingrained in the DNA of Western culture, it's not going anywhere. Even with small failures like copying TikTok.

Just more evidence the world is a very open place.  Millennials and GenZ will probably carry this forward.  It'll be interesting to see how Gen Alpha responds to the new gender tolerance.

Not that it matters to you.  

TikTok overtook Google as the most visited website in 2021

Nearly half of Gen Z is using TikTok and Instagram for search instead of Google, according to Google's own data

And then you wonder why Google launched You Tube SHORTS?

Watching Social Media for inspiration now forms fashion, beauty, food, and entertainment culture more powerfully than reading through Google.  

It's a sign of the times. While I enjoy the community here, I'd argue the bulk of new content is on Instagram and TikTok.

6 hours ago, Bootslover29 said:

Well, it takes time to me to understand this, but you're absolutely right. 

This understanding of the attitude of others is very helpful to adopt the right approach to dismantle aggressive behavior for example. Not considering it against me and my outfit, but issued by his own story, help me to be constructive and less aggressive myself. 

That's great. Even if one idea helps just "move the needle" a bit towards the life you want for yourself, the post was worth my time and labor. Appreciate the feedback

ahh, everything happens at lightening speed in crypto.

APTOS main net launched already. Team rushing to front run SUI competitor.

9 exchanges will list spot token trading: Binance, Coinbase, ByBit, FTX, KuCoin, Bitfinex, Huobi + more

Binance will list perpetual contracts. APTOS team begging Binance not to. Why? Contracts allow shorting. 

Core investment thesis remains. Wait to see if chart action rhymes with DYDX or SOL. If like DYDX, no go. If like SOL, I'm a buyer.

Last bull cycle

SOLANA 50,000%+

MATIC 45,000%+

DOT 1,700%+

What do they all have in common? They're Layer 1 or Layer 2 alternatives to Ethereum.  When ETH transactions increase, throughput slows and gas fees users have to pay increase.

So if history rhymes, which it usually does, then APTOS ($APT) might also pump.  At best, it's able to perform 160K Transactions Per Second. So unlike ETH, adoption can increase without increasing transaction times or transaction costs to the user. It's not listed yet. Main net launch is scheduled for November 2022.  

Cons/risks?  First, Andreseen Horowitz, Binance, and Alameda among others are top investors. Venture Capital funds tend to use retail hype as exit liquidity.  Second, it's valuation pre main net launch is 2B.  That creates risk VC's will dump on first listing to secure principal and increase ROI.  Third, it's vesting schedule (tokenomics in crypto language) isn't yet released. Means we don't know yet if market makers are locked in for 6 months from listing on an exchange or they can dump right away.  I'll be watching very closely.

Pros?  it has enormous financing from massive market makers in crypto. They will surely pump the hell out of the token. Alameda pumped Solana. I assume they'll pump this too 

Will I be buying?  Yes. If the chart starts to look like $DYDX upon listing, not so good. If the chart starts to look like Solana upon listing, could be life changing money.

motivational update: not taking things personally is important to wearing what you want to wear.  That means if people think your heel wearing is "bad", it's not about you. But it also means if they think your heel wearing is "good" it's also not about you.  This attitude flips the reference point back to you and your feelings which you can control.  As opposed to referring to others, which you can't control. 

What I mean by this. If I wear heels and someone disapproves of it, that disapproval says more about that person's inner world than it does about my feelings of excitement wearing heels, my feelings of significance creating beauty via my style, my feelings to create love and connection with the right people by being vulnerable in who I really am.

It also mean, if my wear heels and someone approves, that approval says more about that person's inner world than it does about me for the same reasons above. 

On 10/7/2022 at 11:26 PM, AlexC94 said:

Flying back home to the UK today after a 1 week holiday with my mum in Florida. I wore my doc martens going to the US and I decided to wear them going back home.

 

Got 2 compliments: one from the check in lady on my doc marten high heel boots; she liked my choker and liked my look. Then another staff member in the departure lounge on my boots. She asked how much they were and I said around £80 ($75(?)).

 

You could lay roof tiles in those! Or Climb Everest.  Very sensible pair of heels, no doubt.

On 10/10/2022 at 11:28 PM, Cali said:

Went kayaking over the weekend. When I got to the parking lot, I hopped out of my car and started to untie my kayaks. The English chap loading his kayaks onto the truck next to mine shout out, "I need those shoes."  I had my worn out 4" wedges on and he was vertically challenged, needing a stool to reach the top of his roof.  We laughed.

Sounds like a very matter of fact comment. Shared with respect. 

4 hours ago, pebblesf said:

Yeah, I know, nothing really in common, except for our love of boots.  And, you are right, I better "tread lightly", but I know that she considers me only a "friend", which is just fine.  I surely don't want to mess up my own home life, but it is sure nice enjoying the company of someone who understands and accepts who I am.   Oh well, such are the tricky "detours" of life I guess.  

Indeed, the power of feeling significant, feeling approved, feeling affirmed, feeling praised...part of the core of anyone's existence.

I think a small breakthrough for me was realizing I don't need feelings of significance, approval, affirmation to be felt while relating to another person. I can associate those feelings of warm comfort, that tingle down my neck when a beautiful girl compliments my heels, that warm bright feeling in my chest that I broadcast out when I feel significant--by myself.  I can live those feelings without someone else.

Now, if someone else is around to relate those feelings with, that's for sure a bonus!  And the kind of person I prefer to keep around for a friendship or more even